Land‐use and climate change effects on population size and extinction risk of Andean plants

Andean plant species are predicted to shift their distributions, or ‘migrate,’ upslope in response to future warming. The impacts of these shifts on species' population sizes and their abilities to persist in the face of climate change will depend on many factors including the distribution of individuals within species' ranges, the ability of species to migrate and remain at equilibrium with climate, and patterns of human land‐use. Human land‐use may be especially important in the Andes where anthropogenic activities above tree line may create a hard barrier to upward migrations, imperiling high‐elevation Andean biodiversity. In order to better understand how climate change may impact the Andean biodiversity hotspot, we predict the distributional responses of hundreds of plant species to changes in temperature incorporating population density distributions, migration rates, and patterns of human land‐use. We show that plant species from high Andean forests may increase their population sizes if able to migrate onto the expansive land areas above current tree line. However, if the pace of climate change exceeds species' abilities to migrate, all species will experience large population losses and consequently may face high risk of extinction. Using intermediate migration rates consistent with those observed for the region, most species are still predicted to experience population declines. Under a business‐as‐usual land‐use scenario, we find that all species will experience large population losses regardless of migration rate. The effect of human land‐use is most pronounced for high‐elevation species that switch from predicted increases in population sizes to predicted decreases. The overriding influence of land‐use on the predicted responses of Andean species to climate change can be viewed as encouraging since there is still time to initiate conservation programs that limit disturbances and/or facilitate the upward migration and persistence of Andean plant species.     

Biotic attrition from tropical forests correcting for truncated temperature niches

Species migration in response to warming temperatures is expected to lead to ‘biotic attrition,’ or loss of local diversity, in areas where the number of species emigrating or going locally extinct exceeds the number immigrating. Biotic attrition is predicted be especially severe in the low‐lying hot tropics since elevated temperatures may surpass the observed tolerances of most extant species. It is possible, however, that the estimated temperature niches of many species are inaccurate and truncated with respect to their true tolerances due to the absence of hotter areas under current global climate. If so, these species will be capable of persisting in some areas where future temperatures exceed current temperatures, reducing rates of biotic attrition. Here, we use natural history collections data to estimate the realized thermal niches of > 2000 plant species from the tropical forests of South America. In accord with the truncation hypothesis, we find that the thermal niches of species from hot lowland areas are several degrees narrower than the thermal niches of species from cooler areas. We estimate rates of biotic attrition for South American tropical forests due to temperature increases ranging from 1 to 5 °C, and under two niche assumptions. The first is that the observed thermal niches truly reflect the plant's tolerances and that the reduction in niche breadth is due to increased specialization. The second is that lowland species have the same mean thermal niche breadth as nonlowland and nonequatorial species. The differences between these two models are dramatic. For example, using observed thermal niches we predict an almost complete loss of plant diversity in most South American tropical forests due to a 5 °C temperature increase, but correcting for possible niche truncation we estimate that most forests will retain > 50–70% of their current species richness. The different predictions highlight the importance of using fundamental vs. realized niches in predicting the responses of species to global climate change.     

A unique case of teratology in trilobite segmentation

A teratological specimen of Emuella polymera Pocock 1970 is described. The specimen is a meraspid of degree 30, in which the normal mode of segmentation is disrupted. A unique feature is the development of two 'half segments', each consisting of an incompletely developed axial ring with pleura on one side only. The hypothesis is proposed that the abnormalities result from injury during ontogenetic development.     

Sedation of an original data matrix as applied to paleoecology

Seriation of an original data matrix provides the paleoecologist with a simple and powerful tool for data manipulation. The data matrix lists the presences and absences of taxa in samples. The strategy is to generate a unidimensional sequence by rearranging the taxa and samples so that the presences are blocked along the matrix diagonal. The method is illustrated with two case studies from the Middle Devonian Hamilton Group of New York. The first represents a regressive interval and the seriation sequence summarizes the changes in fauna and samples which can be explained by falling sea level. The second example embraces a much wider range of variation. Seriation mainly recovers a first-order pattern related to depth and correlated variables. This seriation does not reveal parameters such as the nature of the substrate, turbidity, habitat stability and distance offshore. These data cannot be reduced to one dimension. In all cases, seriation yields results similar to those of cluster analysis and the first axis of multivariate ordinations frequently used by ecologists and paleoecologists. Seriation, paleoecology, Devonian, Hamilton Group, multivariate analysis .     

Moist-Soil Seed Abundance in Managed Wetlands in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Abstract: Managed moist-soil units support early succession herbaceous vegetation that produces seeds, tubers, and other plant parts used by waterfowl in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley (MAV), USA. We conducted a stratified multi-stage sample survey on state and federal lands in the MAV of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri during autumns 2002–2004 to generate a contemporary estimate of combined dry mass of seeds and tubers (herein seed abundance) in managed moist-soil units for use by the Lower Mississippi Valley Joint Venture (LMVJV) of the North American Waterfowl Management Plan. We also examined variation in mean seed abundance among moist-soil units in 2003 and 2004 in relation to management intensity (active or passive), soil pH and nutrient levels, proportional occurrence of plant life-forms (e.g., grass, flatsedge, and forb; vine; woody plants), and unit area. Estimates of mean seed abundance were similar in 2002 (x̄ = 537.1 kg/ha, SE = 100.1) and 2004 (x̄ = 555.2 kg/ha, SE = 105.2) but 35–40% less in 2003 (x̄ = 396.8 kg/ha, SE = 116.1). Averaged over years, seed abundance was 496.3 kg/ha (SE = 62.0; CV = 12.5%). Multiple regression analysis indicated seed abundance varied among moist-soil units inversely with proportional occurrence of woody vegetation and unit area and was greater in actively than passively managed units (R²_adj = 0.37). Species of early succession grasses occurred more frequently in actively than passively managed units (P ≤ 0.09), whereas mid- and late-succession plants occurred more often in passively managed units (P ≤ 0.02). We recommend the LMVJV consider 556 kg/ha as a measure of seed abundance for use in estimating carrying capacity in managed moist-soil units on public lands in the MAV. We recommend active management of moist-soil units to achieve maximum potential seed production and further research to determine recovery rates of seeds of various sizes from core samples and the relationship between seed abundance and unit area. (JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT 72(3):707–714; 2008)     

The MacVuti sampler: a new and inexpensive volume sampler for plankton and water

SUMMARY. Details are presented for the construction and operation of a cheap simple volume sampler for Zooplankton and water. This sampler has been used in waters up to 45 m deep over a number of years and proved to be reliable and effective.     

Cryptic, genetically extremely divergent, polytypic, convergent, and polymorphic taxa in Madagascan Tropidophora (Gastropoda: Pomatiasidae)

Madagascar's magnificent and environmentally threatened endemic radiation of the land-snail genus Tropidophora Troschel has recently been classified into three subgenera, 95 species and 142 varieties, based on often subtle conchological variation among small samples; it seems best to ignore temporarily this confusing plethora of names until true biological species and their relationships are better understood. The author's field work in 1990 succeeded in obtaining live Tropidophora from 40 populations distributed throughout the island. Allozyme analysis (108 snails, 15 loci, 117 alleles) yielded a cladogram suggesting nine genetically coherent taxa (T. taxa A-I), each represented in the collections by 1–10 populations. Comparisons among shells (total 1634) and penes (total 31 from 20 populations representing eight of the nine taxa) revealed: (1) two conchologically indistinguishable taxa (H and I) fixed for alternative alleles at 13 of 15 loci, with only a very subtle difference in penes, and with mosaic and overlapping geographical distributions in the Northeast; (2) two extremely polytypic taxa (C in the Southwest, F in the Southeast) with parallel trends toward depressed, broadly umbilicate, heavily sculptured shells with apertural lips widely reflected at the umbilicus at inland, more arid sites, resulting in sympatric convergence; (3) one southeastern taxon (G) in which the penis apparently doubles in length but the shell does not change 6.0 km to the northwest, but in which the shell shifts dramatically in sculpture, colour, and lip reflection 0.5 km to the westnorthwest; and (4) generally such extreme intra- and inter-population variation in shell and male-genital characters as to render many of them dubious at best for systematics. Thus the Madagascan Tropidophora present a fascinatingly complex problem in evolutionary morphology/ecology, the solution of which will require even more extensive collecting, followed by molecular comparisons or detailed anatomical comparisons, or both. The total number of biological species is still likely to be quite large, despite irrelevance of much of the current taxonomy, because many smaller species remain to be discovered.     

Diversities and distributions of 80 land-snail species in southeastern-most Madagascan rainforests, with a report that lowlands are richer than highlands in endemic and rare species

Replicated elevational transects (maximum range 100–860m) on three widely separated mountains yielded 2430 specimens sorted to 80 conservative morphospecies that were assigned to eight major groups. Species were classified as either rare (<0.5% of specimens) or non-rare. Endemic species, conservatively defined as non-rares that were collected on only one mountain and differed significantly in abundance among mountains (based on analysis of variance), comprised 13% of species and were found only at 100–400m. Four of the eight major groups had 80% of their rare species found at 100–400m, and the other four had no less than 50%. This lowland predominance of rares and endemics is unusual and unexpected, and needs to be confirmed by further studies.Previously it has been demonstrated that total land-snail diversity is significantly higher in the eastern, windward, coastal mountains (Vohimena Chain) than in the western, leeward, inland mountains (Anosy Chain). The present paper shows that this pattern holds (based on analysis of variance) for four of eight major taxonomic groupings of land snails (charopids, Microcystis, Kalidos, and non-Boucardicus prosobranchs), and does not exist for another four (Boucardicus, streptaxids, Sitala, and other pulmonates). Microcystis had by far the most rares and endemics (found on only one mountain), which represented 70% and 80% of its species, respectively. Boucardicus, the most diverse group (17 species), also showed the greatest variation in geographical and elevational ranges. Virtually no species of any group had an elevational range of less than 200m.These patterns imply that survey (sufficient at 200m intervals for snails) and conservation efforts should focus immediately on leaf-litter and soil invertebrates of Vohimena Chain forests, including strong emphasis on lowlands. The few remaining forest patches there are effectively unprotected and are undergoing rapid destruction by slash-and-burn agriculture.     

Transmission and Ecology of Trypanosomatid Flagellates of Water Striders (Hemiptera: Gerridae)

An investigation of transmission and ecology of the monogenetic trypanosomatids, Blastocrithidia gerridis and Crithidia flexonema , in Gerris is described. Motile free-living flagellates of both species were found in the faeces of Gerris and in the water on which the bugs inhabited. Transmission of both trypanosomatid species occurred from naturally infected wild-caught bugs to flagellate-free laboratory-bred bugs via water. Crithidia flexonema was also transmitted to laboratory-bred bugs after being isolated in culture. Observations of experimentally infected bugs indicate that C. flexonema flagellates are imbibed and pass through the fore- and midgut to the hindgut where they become attached and multiply. There was no evidence to suggest transovarial transmission. In a 3-yr investigation into the prevalence of trypanosomatids in a natural population of adult Gerris odontogaster , it was found that the infection rate varied between 19% and 100%. There was no significant difference in infection rates between females and males. The infection rate peaked for each year in late spring or early summer. The significance of these results is discussed in relation to the ecology and behaviour of Gerris . The results indicate that the infections are maintained in hibernating bugs over winter.